Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.261955 0.281961 0.303204 0.327515 0.354660 0.384144 0.418732
2025-12-07 0.226624 0.254931 0.286949 0.326170 0.373374 0.428941 0.500197
2025-12-14 0.204593 0.237070 0.275422 0.324715 0.387382 0.465810 0.573755
2025-12-21 0.185984 0.220206 0.261921 0.317514 0.391255 0.488158 0.629569
2025-12-28 0.177379 0.214252 0.260553 0.324424 0.412723 0.534569 0.723472
2026-01-04 0.169150 0.207774 0.257512 0.328201 0.429560 0.575750 0.815578
2026-01-11 0.160910 0.200473 0.252522 0.328428 0.440814 0.609478 0.901042
2026-01-18 0.151694 0.191145 0.243948 0.322586 0.442153 0.627710 0.963358
2026-01-25 0.142512 0.181250 0.233840 0.313539 0.437464 0.635391 1.007936
2026-02-01 0.135352 0.173697 0.226477 0.307850 0.437222 0.649928 1.067042
2026-02-08 0.128514 0.166211 0.218725 0.300914 0.434189 0.659102 1.117083
2026-02-15 0.123021 0.160334 0.212934 0.296505 0.434747 0.674356 1.181845
2026-02-22 0.120162 0.158204 0.212686 0.301007 0.451109 0.721030 1.325437
2026-03-01 0.115962 0.153944 0.209048 0.299880 0.457789 0.750820 1.439836
2026-03-08 0.112060 0.149916 0.205505 0.298594 0.463967 0.780358 1.561404
2026-03-15 0.107222 0.144270 0.199167 0.292192 0.460196 0.789272 1.633427
2026-03-22 0.105692 0.143486 0.200282 0.298336 0.480115 0.849960 1.861074
2026-03-29 0.103627 0.141778 0.199823 0.301692 0.495012 0.902185 2.084084
2026-04-05 0.101014 0.139107 0.197669 0.301893 0.503700 0.941805 2.284036
2026-04-12 0.097444 0.134810 0.192679 0.296702 0.501056 0.954591 2.401341
2026-04-19 0.093501 0.129795 0.186310 0.288654 0.491893 0.950528 2.459649
2026-04-26 0.090370 0.125951 0.181715 0.283588 0.488519 0.960351 2.573175
2026-05-03 0.087189 0.121926 0.176663 0.277405 0.482298 0.962240 2.658366